The death of UKIP

ukip

It could be said that the local elections were a harbinger of things to come in next month’s general election, and it’s fairly easy to see why. The Conservatives have made significant gains in local council seats, while Labour have suffered significantly. However, I doubt that the elections have been any worse for anyone than they have been for the UK Independence Party, having lost all but a single council seat.

Many were quick to declare the death of UKIP, and now even Nigel Farage, the former leader of the party, has little hope of the party lasting longer than two years. In all fairness, they’re right. The whole point of UKIP was to achieve Britain’s emancipation from the European Union, and thanks to last year’s historic referendum, that goal will be achieved, rendering UKIP obsolete as a party (though there are still a small amount of loyal supporters willing to vote for them).

I sort of expected this to happen, and I thought that they might steal Labour seats from the north in the next election. What I should have expected was that the UKIP would lose seats to the Tories, but now that that’s the case, it’s likely that UKIP has absolutely no chance in the upcoming election, and they probably won’t even have a single seat, and probably won’t even reclaim the seat Douglas Carswell gave up. In other words, UKIP’s fate is sealed.

So to the people who think UKIP are “fascists” or “Nazis”, don’t worry. UKIP aren’t a threat. In fact, if you’re a Remainer you should be happy that Brexit is even happening, because the success of Brexit will kill UKIP as a party, so if you want UKIP gone, you want Brexit to work. Besides, UKIP is probably decaying its own thanks to years of political infighting, and the ineptitude of its leader Paul Nuttall. At this rate, if they don’t disband within the next two years, then they’ll pretty much become the equivalent of America’s Constitution Party, a fringe right-wing party that never makes any electoral gains (at least no significant gains anyway), and has no influence on the political landscape in any significant way.

That is the future for UKIP, but I think the people in UKIP are already aware of that. I’d suggest rebranding the party but I think it’s too late. Paul Nuttall did consider rebranding the party for the next general election, but now that we have a snap election, he’s got no time to rebrand, and had shelved the idea. I very much doubt that there’s anything that will save UKIP’s fortunes, whether the party rebrands or not. I suppose it wouldn’t make much of a difference with Farage still leading the party.

They may yet be gone in a few years, but at the very least they will be remembered for exerting the amount of pressure on the government necessary for accomplishing the goal that they had set out to do – triggering an EU membership referendum which successfully results in a UK withdrawal. Of course, they will be forever reviled by what remains of the globalist, Marxist left in the future, but I believe that history will remember them in a positive light, if mainly because the Brexiteers will become the new establishment (with Theresa May embracing hard Brexit, that is already happening). However, I doubt that UKIP will get much credit. After all, history is written by the winners.

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Why I’m voting Conservative in the snap election

theresa may

UPDATE (4/6/2017): These do not represent my current voting intentions, but rather my views at the time of writing the post.

Yesterday, from out of nowhere, Prime Minister Theresa May decided to call a snap general election, which was passed in the House of Commons today, meaning of course that we’ll have yet another round of voting for us beleaguered Brits in about seven weeks time. To be honest, I had a slight suspicion that there might be an early election, but I was taken aback by how soon and sudden this came up. Before that, I decided that if a snap election were to occur, I would vote for the Conservatives, and now that there is a snap election, you probably know where this is going.

Some of you may find this odd. Why would I willingly cast my vote for the party that I spent the past few years excoriating with ceaseless zeal? Well for starters I am not the leftist teenager that I used to be, and I wish I had actually done more research back then too. Second, let’s consider the reality of the political situation in Britain today. Brexit is definitely happening now despite all the establishment’s attempts to stop it, and right now, Theresa May, whatever you may think of her policies, is the only politician with the ability and the will to make it happen.

UKIP is probably closer to my more libertarian positions, but they’re completely useless. Think about it for a moment. The one thing UKIP was founded for, Britain leaving the EU, is already being accomplished under the current government. As long as this is the case, UKIP has no purpose in the political arena, other than potentially stealing Labour seats from the north. In a normal election I suppose I would endorse the UK Libertarian Party, but I don’t think they will have much of an impact in a sudden snap election. Plus, I don’t know anyone running as an MP for the Libertarian Party who I can vote for.

While we’re here, let’s talk about the other parties. I hope nobody tries to convince me to vote for the Liberal Democrats, because they will quickly find it impossible to convince me to vote for the pack of snivelling sell-outs that the Lib Dems. Under Tim Farron, they’ve become a party for social justice warriors, as if the Green Party wasn’t already. I honestly think the Lib Dems want to fail. Their leader is a useless wimp, and they don’t seem to know how to appeal to ordinary voters. And then there’s Labour, the sad socialist club whose leader was practically salivating over the prospect of a snap election, one in which he will undoubtedly be crushed because he is less popular than most British politicians. At this point, they’d do better if they kept Ed Miliband as leader. Even worse are Corbyn’s deluded fans, those larping revolutionaries who will finally get the chance to campaign for their dear leader, lose, then protest the outcome and start a petition to kick the Tories out.

I should reiterate that I don’t actually agree with most of the Tories’ policies. In fact, if I was a Tory, I’d probably be a very crappy Tory. My policies, which would be considered centre-right in America, would probably be considered too far-right for the Conservatives, which I mostly consider to be conservative in name only. The main reason I am voting Conservative in this election is because I know exactly why Theresa May called this election. It’s a move to strengthen her majority, and giver her government democratic legitimacy, all while thinning out the Labour opposition while it’s already weak. In short, I think she wants to attain a larger majority, which will be easier for her to work with while she’s negotiating the Brexit terms with Brussels.

I know full well that the snap election is a political power move on Theresa May’s part, but I am not voting for the Tories on ideological lines. You may remember that I wrote in favour of leaving the EU. Now that we are leaving the EU, this country needs a capable leader who will deliver on the will of the people, and at the moment the only one who can rise to the challenge is Theresa May. I dislike much of her policies, but I think leaving the European Union takes precedent over everything else at the moment, and I want a government that will deliver on its promise. If Theresa May wants her democratic mandate then as far as I’m concerned she can have it. After all, she has thus far demonstrated that she is more than capable of delivering Brexit, while Labour, the Lib Dems and the Green Party have openly opposed it, and UKIP will do nothing to help, having served its purpose.

I leave you with some predictions for the election in June:

  1. The Tories will win in a landslide victory, increasing their majority by at least 40 seats.
  2. Labour will lose at least 30 seats, and Jeremy Corbyn will either resign or be challenged in a new leadership contest some time in the autumn.
  3. The Lib Dems won’t gain or lose many seats, UKIP will probably steal seats from Labour if they gain any at all.

I doubt that it will be a very exciting campaign however, given how exhausted the general public is when it comes to national politics. One thing I can guarantee is that, after the Tories win again, the left-wing media and the progressive busy-bodies will throw a hissy fit yet again, but this time nobody will care.

However you vote in June’s election, I hope that people won’t pick each other apart over they plan to vote, or are at least less enthused about it than they were in last year’s bitterly divisive referendum campaign.